摘要: 本文通过对近年来人口年龄结构变动的分析指出中国劳动年龄人口正处于边际递减的现实。另一方面,由于近年来的高速经济增长,经济发展对劳动力的需求却处于相对稳定的状态。对劳动力市场上供求关系的分析表明,中国的经济发展已经进入"刘易斯转折区域"。这也就意味着,在未来的经济发展过程中,就业的增加将有可能伴随着实际工资的增长。中国经济发展的基本禀赋结构可能会发生转变。
关键词: 刘易斯转折点; 劳动力供求; 劳动力成本
Changes of Labor Demand and Supply and Labor Cost Abstract: This paper points out that in recent years the new entrants of labor age population has been decreasing in China.In addition,thanks to fast economic growth in the past few years,the labor demand has kept relatively stable.Analysis of demand and supply on labor market has indicated that China has already reached Lewis Turning Point,which means that employment increases will be companied with real wage increase together.This trend could change the basic endowment structure of economic development in China and feature Chinese economic growth in the future.
Key Words: Lewis Turning Point,Labor Supply and Labor Demand,Labor Costs
全文阅读 文章出处:中国劳动经济学,2006年